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Primus is a credit derivative product company. How will they weather the credit crisis of 2007?

Student spreadsheet for case UV0511.

In developed nations, the workforce is aging rapidly. That trend has serious implications. Companies could face severe labor shortages in a few years as workers retire, taking critical knowledge with them. Businesses may also see productivity decline among older employees, especially in physically demanding jobs. The authors, partners at Boston Consulting Group, offer managers a systematic way to assess these dual threats - capacity risk and productivity risk - at their companies. It involves studying the age distribution of their employees to see if large percentages fall within high age brackets and then projecting - by location, unit, and job category - how the distribution will change over the next 15 years. Managers must also factor in both the impact of strategic moves on personnel needs and the future supply of workers in the market. When RWE Power analyzed its trends, the company learned that in 2018 almost 80% of its workers would be over 50. What's more, in certain critical areas its labor surplus was about to become a sizable shortfall. For instance, a shortage of specialized engineers would develop in the company just as their ranks in the job market thinned and competition to hire them intensified. Reversing its downsizing course, RWE Power took steps to increase its supply of workers in those key positions. The authors show how companies that face talent gaps, as RWE Power did, can close them through training, transfers, recruitment, retention, productivity improvements, and outsourcing. They also describe measures that companies can take to keep older workers productive, including workplace accommodations, revised compensation structures, performance incentives, and targeted health care management. The key is to identify and address potential problems early. Firms that do so will gain an edge on rivals that are still relentlessly focused on reducing head count.

Despite the failure of other attempts to bring mixed use development in New York City, Related Companies in 2004 opened Time Warner Center, a huge complex incorporating offices, shops, restaurants, music auditoriums, a hotel, and luxury apartments on Columbus Circle in Manhattan. Tracing the process by which Related became the site developer, the case examines the risks and rewards of building and marketing the various components of the megastructure.

What is proper role of professional economic forecasting in financial decision making? The case presents excerpts from three leading economic forecasters on the eve of, and just after, the stock market crash of October 1929. The first set of excerpts is from Roger Babson, an entrepreneur from Wellesley, Massachusetts, who gained considerable fame for correctly predicting the market downturn on the basis of his own forecasting device, the "Babsonchart." The second set is from the staff of the Harvard Economic Society, an international group of illustrious economists and statisticians. To create its forecasts, the Harvard Economic Society developed a model that traced economic activity in three areas: speculation, business, and money. The Harvard group had great success when they introduced their model in the early 1920s, but failed to predict the stock market crash in 1929. The third set of excerpts is from Irving Fisher, the premier monetary economist of his day and one of the most respected American economists of all time. Although the crash caught Fisher completely by surprise, he remained a major figure in the forecasting field in the 1930s. The case also includes passages from University of Chicago Professor Garfield Cox's effort, in 1930, to assess the accuracy of forecasts made throughout the 1920s.

In discussing the key cost management principles every executive must know, this technical note organizes the information under six principles. For example, the many meanings of the word "cost" are defined in an abbreviated costs glossary under the first principle while the remaining principles cover relevant costs, allocating indirect costs, good cost data, and second-effect costs.

One year after going into the chip-manufacturing business and hiring a new CEO to reorganize the company, Diversified Electronics Corporation realized that under the new organizational structure, it was clear that last year's results were mixed, and expectations for the year to come would be hard to meet. Discontent focused on the costs that were assessed against each of the company's product lines. Product-line managers also questioned the cost of the chips produced by the chip-manufacturing operation-the largest part of the product-cost structure. The situation called for the implementation of new procedures.

Founded in 1870 to help finance surging German exports and imports, the Deutsche Bank soon moved into domestic banking. In fact, its founders aimed to create both a commercial bank and an investment bank under one roof--that is, a "universal bank." By the end of the nineteenth century, the Deutsche Bank was not only the largest bank in Germany, but also a strategic actor in the broader European market and, indeed, in the world economy. Over the first half of the twentieth century, however, the bank faced a series of national crises: defeat in WWI (1914-1918), revolution in 1919, hyperinflation in 1923, economic depression in the early 1930s, the rise of Hitler in 1933, another world war in 1939, and then total defeat in 1945. At the end of WWII, the Soviets closed the Berlin headquarters of the Deutsche Bank as part of their denazification effort. Meanwhile, the United States, Britain, and France, occupying the western portion of Germany, attempted to implement a policy of economic decentralization, and broke what remained of the bank into small pieces. By 1950, facing a proposal from leading German bankers to allow the big banks to begin reconstituting themselves, the Allied powers and the new German legislature had to decide whether to accept this proposal or reject it.

The Chinese currency, the renminbi, has been a subject of controversy between China and its trade partners (especially the US), which accuse China of manipulating its exchange rate to make its exports artificially cheaper. They perceive the renminbi as an unfair weapon in international competition. Chinese officials responded that these attacks were groundless: the renminbi was not undervalued, at least not significantly. The peg contributed to maintaining a stable economic environment, which benefited all economic partners. They also said that, if the US was running a large trade and budget deficit, it was partly attributable to capital inflow from China. The US should focus on the weaknesses of its own economy that generated these deficits, instead of treating China as a scapegoat. Officials also said that China was a sovereign country with the right to choose its exchange rate policy. Throughout 2005 to 2007, the debate was regularly in the news and it was likely that arguments would become tougher if US and European trade deficits with China continued to increase. This case is about economics and business, introducing the basics of monetary economics and demonstrating practical applications of monetary policies and exchange rates that pertain to business decisions..

At the start of WWI, the United States faced a significant housing shortage. Public officials feared the spread of disease--and even communism-- in the nation's cramped urban centers where vacancy rates held near zero and families often "doubled up" in single housing units. Hoping to spark a burst of new construction, New York Senator William Calder called for the creation of eleven regional Federal Building Loan Banks that would serve as a new source of funds for mortgage lenders. The proposal was controversial, however. Opponents disliked the fact that the Federal Building Loan Banks would have the authority to issue tax-free, mortgage backed bonds, and many claimed that the private market would solve the housing shortage on its own. Proponents of the bill, meanwhile, believed that it was necessary to stave off a potentially disastrous and protracted housing shortage, and they cited the long-successful mortgage bond markets in France and Germany as evidence that their plan could succeed. Federal lawmakers had to assess the arguments on both sides and render a decision.

Spreadsheet Supplement for [207128].

Examines an acquisition in the highly competitive outdoor media advertising industry in China in late 2005. The transaction leads to eventual consolidation of the whole industry and positive stock reactions. Discusses equity consideration in the context of an M&A transaction, and the role of private equity and venture capital in the development and the eventual consolidation of the industry in emerging markets. Provides a context in which to discuss the impact of antitrust regulation, or lack thereof, on the industrial organization in China.

This case focuses on the financial difficulties faced in the US from August to December 2006 as well as their roots in subprime lending. After briefly discussing how mortgages were structured and traded in the pre-1990 period, it describes subprime mortgage lending, as well as other innovative mortgages issued in the 1990s. It also discusses how these mortgages were packaged into securities, and who ultimately came to own these claims and their attendant risk. The case then describes the pain inflicted by raising foreclosures, as well as the financial market ramifications of the rise in mortgage delinquencies. It also chronicles the response of the US and European central banks to the unfolding financial difficulties. Lastly, the case lays policies that have been proposed to deal with either the consequences or the causes of the crisis. These include policies for reforming the supervision of the financial system, changing bankruptcy rules and regulating mortgage finance. Some attention is paid to the role of credit rating agencies in the crisis, and in the financial system as a whole.

Spreadsheet Supplement for case 708042.

Spreadsheet Supplement for case 108038

"Wal-Mart's Use of Interest Rate Swaps" recounts Wal-Mart's use of interest rate swaps to hedge the fair value of its fixed-rate debt against changing interest rates. This case provides students with a foundation for understanding the use of and accounting for more complex derivatives. Specific issues raised include: (1) the financial statement impact of hedge accounting, (2) motivations for using derivatives, including the potential role of accounting standards, and (3) the degree to which financial statement and MD&A disclosures are sufficiently informative about the risks associated with financial instruments.

The owners of Aquarius Ales, a popular Sixth Street pub in Austin, Texas, received an offer to sell their business to a pair of University of Texas business school graduates for $450,000. Was this a fair offer? If not, what would be an appropriate counter offer? The case looks at the prospect for revenues for the pub in light of declining alcohol consumption among the general population. Aquarius Ales' niche was appealing to those who liked 60s and 70s music, with its name coming from a song in the hit sixties musical "Hair." Although the pub's main product - alcoholic beverages - was a commodity, the pub had the advantage of a desirable location, decrease in the number of competitors and a population of college students who enjoyed "oldies."

The purpose of this case was to determine whether ACE Private Equity Partners, a mid-size private equity fund, should acquire two physical therapy companies in order to develop them for subsequent sale to a larger private equity firm. This situation represented another opportunity for ACE's general partners to implement their "merger consolidation" investment strategy for their fund investors or limited partners. This investment strategy was to buy several private firms in the same industry, develop them for three to five years with revenue growth and cost saving synergies and, then, sell this larger consolidated company. This investment strategy was summarized by three major tactics: 1) build more valuable companies through growth and consolidation, 2) use arbitrage to buy smaller companies at lower private company EBITDA multiples and, then, sell them as a larger combined enterprise at higher public company EBITDA multiples, and 3) leverage the acquisitions with debt to spread risk and enhance returns.

Spreadsheet Supplement for case 208107

Explains the accounting for interest rate derivatives under Statement of Financial Accounting Standards 133.