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Trionym Systems: Investment Decision-Making Using Prescriptive Analytics
內容大綱
Trionym Systems, a designer and manufacturer of 3-D printers, was enjoying soaring sales. Trionym’s chief executive officer (CEO) presented a plan for acquiring a new production facility to address the expected demand for the firm’s latest 3-D printer, the RB-5000, which was presently under beta testing. He expressed reservations with respect to considerable uncertainty both in terms of market size and production costs. Accordingly, he wished to use the latest prescriptive analytics techniques to ensure that the decision to expand was the right one. The chief analytics officer was tasked with assessing the proposed project and had to report his findings at the next board meeting.
學習目標
The case learning objectives are:</ul><li>To appreciate the basic concepts behind capital investment decision problems under risk.</li><li>To comprehend the fundamentals of net present value analysis.</li><li>To understand how to use a decision tree in assessing decision making under risk problems.</li><li>To conduct a sensitivity analysis on key problem variables.</li></ul>