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HDFC Life: Free Cash Flow Valuation
內容大綱
In June 2022, two MBA students from a post-secondary institution in India were asked by their professor to build a valuation model for HDFC Life Insurance Company Limited to assess the company’s stock price for investors. The students understood the importance of the task and tracked the company’s historic stock price. They found that its share price dropped considerably in 2021, as the company’s profits decreased due to a high number of claims during the COVID-19 pandemic. In 2022, however, the company witnessed a rise in profits mainly due to a high number of premiums, as fears from COVID-19 infections led more people to buy insurance coverage. Given that the company’s profits and performance had been fluctuating, the students wanted to know whether the stock was undervalued, overvalued, or fairly priced. Their task was to determine the ideal stock price and whether to recommend the stock to investors.
學習目標
This case can be used in a finance course on security analysis or business valuation at the undergraduate or MBA level. The case discussion can cover surrounding dividend discount valuation methodology to identify a potential investment target. After completion of this case, students will be able to<ul><li>conduct a SWOT analysis to understand the different growth and risk opportunities associated with investment in a life insurance company;</li><li>identify the key assumptions and approaches to valuate a life insurance company using the free cash flow method; and</li><li>conduct a fundamental and relative valuation of a company’s stock price.</li></ul>