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Provides a framework for understanding the role of financial reporting and various intermediaries as mechanisms for reducing both adverse selection and moral hazard problems in capital markets. Financial reports reduce adverse selection by providing basic information for investors and their agents before they make initial capital resource allocation decisions. Subsequently, after capital is allocated to particular business ventures, financial reports reduce moral hazard between managers and investors by supplying information used in contracting between investors and managers to reduce conflicts of interests. Various institutional mechanisms and information intermediaries monitor and limit the manipulation of reported information by managers and constrain managers' ability to act in their own self-interest, rather than investors' interests. They also improve information production, reduce incentive conflicts, and enable capital markets to function effectively and efficiently, channeling the economy's savings to the most productive opportunities.

Progressive Insurance had refused to play Wall Street's earning game. Progressive didn't manage reported earnings nor did management give guidance to analysts. Management then considered taking their unique disclosure strategy one step further to become the first to move to monthly reporting of operating results. Significant benefits had accrued from Progressive's refusal to play the earnings game. Management's time wasn't wasted manipulating reported results or talking to analysts, and reported numbers didn't mislead internal or external decision making. However, there were significant costs, as well. Unguided analysts' forecasts were often well off the mark, causing Progressive's stock price to fluctuate widely around quarterly earnings announcements. Analysts' forecasting abilities seemed to be getting worse--during four consecutive quarters in 1999-2000, management felt compelled to give mid-quarter warnings that earnings would fall significantly below the First Call's consensus estimate. To eliminate the need for such mid-quarter warnings, management considered moving to monthly reporting of operating results. With this data, analysts presumably would be able to update their forecasts. Management must decide if the release of monthly results would give competitors information to use against Progressive, and if the release of monthly results would increase or decrease Progressive's stock price volatility.

Tim Williams, the new CFO of a publicly-traded enterprise software company, attempts to rebuild his company's reputation for reliable financial reporting following a highly visible financial reporting crisis. The crisis begins with an earnings shortfall warning, which precipitates a dramatic share price drop, culminating in an SEC investigation and resulting in several shareholder lawsuits. Armed with an understanding of the company business model, sales cycle, and revenue recognition policy, Williams must piece together why the reporting crisis happened. He must assess how these various factors interacted to contribute to the company's crisis, and which policies and business practices under his control can be changed to prevent future financial reporting issues. Looking to rebuild the company's credibility with the financial community, as a first-time CFO of a publicly traded company, Williams must also attempt to understand the role of regulators and capital market intermediaries--in particular, financial analysts.

Managers fail to communicate effectively with Wall Street for all sorts of reasons. But neglecting the investment community--particularly the analysts whose opinions shape the market and whose recommendations often make or break a company's share price--can knock the most carefully conceived and brilliantly executed strategy off course. The companies that struggle the most with providing good information to analysts are those in rapidly evolving industries, where the gap between traditional performance metrics and economic realities is at its widest. In these industries, a company's strategy and the variables that govern its performance can change radically in a short time. What's more, the metrics used to report performance often fail to capture the drivers of value in today's information economy. According to Amy Hutton, an associate professor at Harvard Business School, there are four basic rules for clear communications with Wall Street. First, make sure that your company's financial reporting reflects your strategy as closely as possible. Second, popularize the nonfinancial metrics that best predict--and flatter--the performance of your businesses. Third, appoint managers with recognized credibility to your strategic operations. Finally, cultivate the market experts who cover the industries in which you seek to compete. Hutton shows how AOL successfully followed these rules as it significantly changed its strategic direction and competitive arena.

Amid mounting concern by credit agencies about off-balance sheet liabilities, an analyst for one of the leading credit-rating agencies has been asked to make a presentation about off-balance sheet liabilities, the strategic analysis behind leasing versus purchasing property, and accounting for leases.

A newly reopened automobile engine plant has been organized along total quality and teamwork principles. Employees now solve problems and ensure quality, rather than watch parts being produced. New operating and financial systems have been installed to promote continuous improvement, waste elimination, and cost reduction activities.

Describes the cost control system used at an automobile engine plant for labor and overhead costs. The finance staff prepares daily, weekly, and monthly variance reports against budgets. Department supervisors, finance staff, and the plant manager discuss the use and interpretation of these reports. Also describes the company's budgeting procedures, which include a performance improvement factor to motivate annual productivity gains and cost reductions. Allows the class to discuss whether the extensive and detailed variance analysis systems promote valuable managerial objectives such as cost control, learning, and improvement. A big issue is whether an emphasis on meeting short-run budgets inhibits longer-term improvements in quality and productivity.

In August 1995, the Upjohn Co. and Pharmacia AB announced a "merger of equals." This case provides background information on the industry, the position of Upjohn, and Upjohn's rationale for the proposed merger.

Capital markets may have overcapitalized the craft brewing industry during a flurry of new IPOs. In the context of this "hot" IPO market each individual company's valuation may seem reasonable. However, after careful analysis of each company's financial statement and upon consideration of analysts' forecasts of the industry's growth prospects, it is unclear whether the craft brewing industry is overcapitalized. This could be another "hot" then "crash" IPO industry, like biotech or the computer disk drive industry.

Spreadsheet supplement for case number 196138.

This case examines how accurately investors have incorporated information about the growth strategy of Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) into share price, especially given the changing competitive environment in the housewares industry and the recent Barron's article pointing to several negative indicators at BBBY. The red flags highlighted in the article include BBBY's request for extended payment terms with its suppliers, inventory buildups, insider sales of stock, and growing short interest in the company's stock. In the days following Barron's article, BBBY's share price falls by more than 10%.

Spreadsheet Supplement for case 196123

America Online's (AOL) stock price has soared nearly 2,000% since its IPO. However, there is considerable disagreement among analysts regarding the future prospects of AOL. Although many analysts are bullish on the stock, short sellers have sold around 7 million shares.

Spreadsheet Supplement for case 196130.

A newly reopened automobile engine plant has been organized along total quality and teamwork principles. Employees now is to solve problems and ensure quality, rather than watch parts being produced. New operating and financial systems have been installed to promote continuous improvement, waste elimination, and cost reduction activities.

Describes the outcome of the deliberations at Summit Distributors. To be distributed in class following discussion of the (A) case.

Summit Distributors was in danger of violating loan covenants because of slow economic activity and forecasted losses and was faced with a choice. Changing the inventory valuation method from LIFO to FIFO would avoid default but would require higher future income taxes. Not changing could mean default on covenants, renegotiating loan terms at less favorable interest rates, or possible bankruptcy.

Spreadsheet Supplement for case 193053