A retail investor was interested in investing in XPEL Inc., a market leader in the paint protection film industry. The investor felt that the company’s stock was undervalued and wanted to conduct a company valuation. She started by reviewing the company’s annual report for 2023 and gathered relevant market information for her analysis. On March 14, 2024, XPEL Inc.’s stock was trading at US$48.56 per share, which the investor believed was undervalued. However, she would have to consider all financial and market information she had gathered before reaching a final investment decision.
On October 27, 2017, the share price of McKesson Corporation and two other major US pharmaceutical distributors dropped by 7–12 per cent over only a few days. The stock price drop was fuelled by reports that Amazon Inc. had quietly acquired wholesales pharmacy licences in 12 US states and, a short time later, formed an independent venture with Berkshire Hathaway Inc. and JP Morgan Chase & Co. to improve the cost and quality of health care for the US employees of all three companies. These two notable events in the US pharmaceuticals market did not go unnoticed by a group of students enrolled in a value investing class, who wondered if it was possible for Amazon Inc. to disrupt the US health care industry, or if the market was overreacting to the two reports. Was McKesson Corporation’s future in the pharmaceutical distribution business in jeopardy, or was its stock suddenly in a favourable buy position?
An equity analyst at a value fund considers pitching to his fund manager the Canadian software maker Constellation Software Inc. The last software company he pitched was rejected for failing to meet the value fund’s investment criteria of low analyst coverage and small market capitalization with either a strong competitive advantage or a low price-earnings ratio and a low price-to-book ratio. The analyst has heard that Constellation Software is earning very high returns on invested capital deployed and wonders whether the company’s current valuation makes it a great business investment at a fair price.
Antony Ving had secured the highly coveted analyst position for the Western Investment Club (WIC), a student-controlled organization at the Richard Ivey School of Business that managed over $100,000 according to a disciplined value investing philosophy. He was preparing a presentation on Dun & Bradstreet (DNB) for the next WIC meeting. DNB was a leading provider of information, services, and solutions; it was in the business of selling accumulated information and research to customers interested in due diligence for risk management, expansion, and supply chain management purposes. While DNB had passed the investment committee’s screening, Antony had to delve into the drivers of value to distinguish whether DNB had sufficiently sustainable operating and financial advantages in a sustainable industry to qualify as undervalued. He had to present a comprehensive valuation and strategic analysis on whether DNB was a buy… or a bust.
A recent business graduate decided to contact her former classmates from her value investing course. She emailed them with a proposal to re-evaluate the company they had valued for their final project, National Presto Industries (Presto). Presto was a diversified company operating in three different industries: housewares/small appliances, absorbent products, and defense. The price had dropped about 25 per cent and perhaps it was time to take it off of the group’s “watch list,” as it might now be undervalued and worth purchasing. Presto was initially brought to the group’s attention through a screening process that identified Presto as having a low price to earning value, a high dividend yield, and a small market capitalization. It was unusual in that it was a company that was over 100 years old and operated in stable and unglamorous segments, yet was still considered a growth company. If it was determined that Presto was a good buy, the team also wanted to establish an exit price, but due to a tight concentration of shareholders and low average daily trading volume, the team wondered how this low liquidity would impact the stock’s share price.
A junior investment analyst at Maple Toronto Fund (the Fund), a “deep-value shop” whose main strategy was to invest in deeply undervalued businesses, was screening hundreds of small-cap stocks and came across HQ Sustainable Maritime Industries Inc. (HQS), an aquaculture and aquatic product processing company that operated in two product segments in China. A quick look at HQS’s financials suggested to the junior investment analyst that he had found the “holy grail” of value investing: a net-net stock. The junior investment analyst knew he had to perform in-depth due diligence to estimate the stock’s intrinsic value and determine whether the stock was truly undervalued. He wondered how to tackle the valuation; in addition to developing a deep understanding of the industry and the company’s business model and numbers, he considered the value-investing-based valuation approach. The junior investment analyst knew that demonstration of thorough analysis and accurate valuation of HQS might convince senior management of the Fund to acquire a substantial stake in HQS. If this investment was profitable, it could boost his career and prospects of advancement within the Fund. The junior investment analyst had one week to put his presentation together.
In September, 2005 an investment analyst had recommended to the investment committee of Optimal Funds (the Fund) to invest $10 million in La-Z-Boy, in addition to the $20 million that the Fund had already invested. The analyst believed La-Z-Boy represented strong value yet, having only been on the job less than one year, he knew that he needed to provide sound judgment and analysis to convince the investment committee and to maintain his credibility. After determining the entry price for La-Z-Boy shares, the analyst was requested by the committee to provide several additional pieces of information including valuation and entry-price determination; comments on the higher beta and lower price-to-earnings ratio as compared to its industry average; risks and appropriate mitigation efforts of devoting 12 per cent of the fund to a single company (La-Z-Boy); diversification efforts of the fund; and comments on the fund's overall investment strategy. The analyst knew several other analysts were providing their own investment recommendations to the investment committee and that he had only two days to develop and strengthen his case for investing in La-Z-Boy.
The founders of BarKar, an investment company, are considering whether to invest in Harley-Davidson Inc. BarKar is a value-oriented investment company in Vancouver, B.C., Canada that specializes in identifying and investing in companies trading at more than a one-third discount to their intrinsic value. In order to reach a decision, the founders have to look at the financials and carry out a strategic analysis to determine the intrinsic value of this stock.
A new investment analyst with Alpha Value Fund was working on a presentation he was to make to the fund's investment committee, recommending an investment of $50 million in Sanderson Farms. Sanderson Farms was one of the leading poultry processors in the United States. Their stock had closed that day with a share price of $22.62 on the New York Stock Exchange. Eight months ago, the stock was trading at $48 per share. However, with the threat of an epidemic outbreak of avian flu and because of the losses incurred from hurricane Katrina, the share price plummeted. The investment analyst believed that the markets were over-reacting and, based on his analysis, Sanderson Farms presented a value candidate. He knew he had to be persuasive given the fund's preference for stable business and his relative lack of experience as an analyst.
The senior portfolio manager at National Securities Inc. (National) is concerned about the recent decline in shares of Agnico-Eagle Mines Ltd (AEM), a Canadian gold producer with several years of precious metals mining experience that was considered one of the portfolio's strongest performers. The senior portfolio manager and his team recently spent time at one of AEM's mines and believed in the operational potential of the company. National's research department had prepared free cash flow forecasts for AEM, which the senior portfolio manager reviewed and modified, following their visit with the company. He knew that despite his team's belief in the future prospects of AEM, the stock may have become overvalued from a fundamental view point. The senior portfolio manager asked his team to perform a fundamental valuation of the equity of AEM. As normally, this meant the team would use the discounted cash flow (DCF) methodology, with financial assumptions that had been carefully examined. However, he knew that DCF valuation would likely undervalue resource companies, such as AEM, as the DCF valuation tended to overlook the flexibility provided at decision nodes during the life of the company with regards to extracting commodities from the ground. As a result, the senior portfolio manager reminded the team that the DCF method, when applied to a mining company, had to be expanded to explicitly include the value of the un-mined metals. The underground un-mined gold would need to be valued as a real option, using an adjusted Black-Scholes model.
Mortgages are one of the most complex products offered by financial institutions. This is because valuation of these instruments involves an understanding of certain relatively confusing financial concepts. These are: (a) The present value concept,(b) Term versus amortization,(c) Stated yield compounding frequency of payment, and (d) Mortgagee's required yield (otherwise called the opportunity cost of capital). This note discusses these concepts.