個案總覽

This is a series of four case studies illustrating a number of key financial issues facing many small to medium sized companies. The setting is Hong Kong, but the concerns of the company's management are universal: financing growth, measuring performance, deciding whether or not to invest in a new product, valuation of the company for a possible sale, dealing with currency risk. Company Situation In late July 1998, the senior management of Great Eastern Toys, a medium-sized, family-owned company with annual sales of over HK$245 millions (US$31 million) from designing and distributing children's toys, books, and games was reviewing recent performance and future operations. The company exported about 50% of its products to North American markets, close to 50% to major department stores and distributors in Europe, and less than 5% in the local market. Its principal suppliers were in Hong Kong; it financed its operations mainly with the local currency, Hong Kong dollars, but also with Yen loans. Great Eastern Toys (A) The company had enjoyed substantial growth following management changes in 1996, Management's attention had been focused on expanding sales, leading them to ignore a large increase in working capital needs. These had been financed mainly with short term bank borrowing. The economic crisis in Hong Kong in 1998 led the company's banks to ask that loans be substantially reduced with potentially serious liquidity consequences for the firm. The "A" case focuses on how to deal with these developments. Students are asked to evaluate the company's situation using standard tools of financial analysis: ratio, cash flow, and profitability analysis. Two class sessions are normally needed for adequate discussion of the various issues arising in the case.

Supplement to case IN1047. As part of its growth strategy, a new product has been designed and a study carried out by a consultant to estimate the market potential and the investment required to put it into production. The analysis calls for an estimation of the relevant cash flows from the project raising questions such as measuring opportunity costs, evaluation of sunk costs and joint costs, the impact of the new product eroding sales from existing products - typical problems arising when making capital investments. Since the investment project extends over several years, a DCF analysis is necessary. Discussion needs a full class session.

Supplement to case IN1047. A major concern of the family owners was whether to try to sell their company. The "C" case gives students the opportunity to consider many approaches to valuing a firm: comparative valuation (P/E ratios, price-to-book ratios, price to cash flow ratios, and price to sales ratios) or a DCF valuation. Both approaches present considerable analytical problems. A major weakness of the comparative approach is to find a similar company. Hong Kong, a relatively small stock market, has no firm in the toy business to use as a guide. Other publically traded firms of similar size, markets, and product-lines are found in the Japanese and the American stock markets. But given the differences among the companies and also the markets, how useful are these? There is enough data in the case to allow the student to make a DCF valuation, although projection of the cash flows is subject to a wide range of possibilities. An estimate of a reasonable discount rate also is required, raising questions (assuming use of the CAPM) such as what should be the firm's beta, the risk-free rate, and the equity market premium. Students will need at least two hours of preparation plus a full class session.

Student Spreadsheet for case IN1051.

Supplement to case IN1047. The company faced currency risk on its sales to European markets, and on some Yen loans it had taken. Because the HK$ was pegged to the US$, currency risk on its American sales was seen as practically nil. In this respect, the company's currency position is similar to that of a French or Spanish company exporting to other countries in the European Union whose currency is pegged to the Euro, but also exporting to North America, while financing part of its operations with Yen or Sterling.

The Lundbeck case study describes the initial public offering (IPO) that the company made in the summer of 1999. The focus of the case is about valuation, but a number of other issues arise for discussion: The company's strategy in deciding to make the IPO What the considerations were for the management and shareholder in agreeing on the issuing price and timing The number of shares to be sold, where they would be sold, and how the after-market should be developed and maintained Lundbeck is a medium-sized pharmaceutical company based in Denmark. It is specialized in the research and development, manufacture, marketing and sale of drugs for the treatment of psychological and neurological diseases and disorders. Group sales for 1998 were DKK 3.2 billion of which its principal product, citalopram accounted for DKK 2.1 billion or two-thirds of the total. The company has production facilities in Denmark and the U.K. Most R&D is carried out by the company itself, or through licensing, and from strategic alliances with others having expertise in a specific area. Some 475 scientists and technicians are employed in R&D out of a total 2,286 full-time employees in the company. Until the IPO, the Lundbeck Foundation was the sole shareholder. The IPO would put about 20% of the shares on the market in a so-called Global Offering. A listing of the shares would be made on the Copenhagen stock market.