個案總覽

A commercial real estate expert contemplated the best use of his family-owned land parcel through hotel development. The venture- and capital-structures were put in place as a lender committed to the debt capital. After considering operations, financing and taxation cash flows, the project could have potentially met the equity holders' return expectations. But things did not go as expected, and the costs overshot to outlier levels.

Spreadsheet supplement for case A00462.

Midway through construction, a hotel developer realised that costs had risen too much to be feasible for equity capital. They repositioned the asset as a ResiTel wherein each suite would be sold as a condominium unit to retail buyers. This called for setting up two separate entities: one (PropCo) for asset management and the other (LeaseCo) for operating the hotel. Unit owners would earn a regular share of hotel income. The lenders protected additional sale-risk by more conservative loan terms. The developer must analyse the feasibility of the repositioned asset.

Spreadsheet supplement for case A00426.

Nicolas Dupont, the owner of Chateau de Montana, a struggling (and old) boutique hotel in Crans-Montana Ski Resort, Switzerland, wished to renovate and reposition his family-owned hotel to target higher room rates. Dupont commissioned Olga Mitireva and Yulia Belopilskaya as consultants to assess the proposition. The consultants had to extract cues for the room rate of the repositioned hotel from comparable hotels. However, the room rates varied significantly across similar hotels due to their differing characteristics and locations. It was a cognitive challenge to read the patterns from a few comparable hotels. They collected the data of 200 hotels from similar locations and simulated room prices using hedonic regression models.

Spreadsheet supplement for case A00424.

Hotel Kinara is a newly built, well-functioning 4-star hotel in Ahmedabad. But the hotel owners desire an exit from the market. A transaction advisory consultant values the hotel right before the COVID-19 pandemic. However, as happens with big-ticket transactions, the sale is delayed. The hotel is revalued after the first wave of COVID-19 subsides. The valuation is substantially below the original estimates. The consultant contemplates the valuation two years later. The case is centred around valuing a commercial property asset in different market conditions using the discounted cash flow method. Students develop a cash flow pro forma on the basis of market information. The case exposes students to several nuances of pro forma development. Students are sensitised to the idea that valuation is about not just cash flows but also the perceived risk in cash flows. The perceived risks may result from investors' overreaction to market conditions and irrational sentiments. The discount rate, capitalisation rate, etc., must be revised carefully as the market cycles change.