• PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk: Value Creation in an Integrated Property Company

    In April 2017, Henry Lubis, an analyst at Megatrends, a global ratings firm, reviewed the analysis he had completed of Lippo Karawaci's EVA (Economic Value Added). He had come to hear that Johannes Seng, CEO of PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk (Lippo Karawaci), Indonesia's largest listed property company by revenue and total assets, had emerged from the annual Board of Directors meeting in March 2017 without obtaining an approval to incur capital expenditure of US$100 million (IDR1.34 trillion ) in 2017. The Board of Directors wanted to assess Lippo Karawaci's shareholder value creation track record, and evaluate whether it was more prudent for the company to focus on growth by expanding its business rapidly through massive capital expenditure, or take measures to achieve a sustainable EVA for its operations. The Board's concern was that Indonesia's improving economic growth was not translating into the expected fillip in the property sector, especially in the residential segment. The case provides an overview of the Indonesian property market as of end-2016, Lippo Karawaci's business profile and consolidated financials, and the market data necessary to compute its EVA and use this metric to assess value creation in its business lines. The recommendation of the company's strategy, i.e., growth versus consolidation, needs to be based on the appropriate cost of capital that incorporates the cost of debt and equity (as opposed to accounting profit that factors in just the cost of debt). Another consideration is the company's EVA track record based on reported debt and core equity (i.e. the sum of equity and retained earnings).
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  • HYFLUX LTD.'s PERPETUAL CAPITAL SECURITIES: DEBT OR EQUITY?

    Hyflux Ltd., a Singapore Exchange (SGX) listed sustainable water and energy solutions company, declared losses for the first time since its listing more than a decade ago, and expressed its inability to service its debt and pay distribution to holders of its perpetual capital securities and perpetual preference shares. These investors were in a state of shock and disbelief when barely 5 months later, in May 2018, Hyflux suspended the trading of its shares on SGX and opted for a court-supervised debt reorganisation process. Where had Hyflux, the erstwhile poster child of Singapore's innovation and entrepreneurship capabilities, erred?
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  • Why Are Rating Agencies so Optimistic about Genting Berhad?

    Malaysia headquartered Genting Berhad has been assigned highest credit rating among global gaming companies. This remarkable gaming focussed conglomerate adopted what in 1965 was a unique strategy to develop a portfolio of stable and recurring cash flow generating integrated resorts. This strategy was to establish flagship IRs in regulated markets such as Malaysia (where Genting is a monopoly) and Singapore (where the company operates in a duopolistic market) before diversifying into competitive markets like the U.S. and U.K. This strategy has enabled Genting Berhad to achieve a net cash position despite operating in a cyclical and capital intensive industry. Using Genting Berhad as an example, this case study delineates the concepts of credit ratings in general, credit ratings of corporates in particular, and industry specific credit rating methodology. The case study prompts users to adopt a systematic approach to fundamental and counterparty analysis by assessing the impact of the macro economy, industry environment, and company specific attributes in evaluating a company's debt servicing ability.
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  • Healthway Medical Corporation Limited: Do Stock Valuation Metrics Render Financial Analysis Redundant?

    Alan Wong, an intern at Gem Asset Management, was pleasantly surprised when, as per his supervisor's instructions, reviewed the stock multiples (P/E, P/Sales, P/Book Value, and EV/EBITDA) of healthcare stocks listed on the Singapore Exchange (SGX). He recalled from his Equity Analysis 101 class at business school that the stock valuation metrics of companies in the same industry tended to trade within a narrow range. But certain stock valuation metrics of Healthway Medical Corporation appeared attractive in relation to SGX-listed peers. Alan performs the Du Pont analysis and financial statement analysis to ascertain if the Healthway stock was indeed attractive against the backdrop of its performance. Did the conclusions of his analysis support his initial impression?
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  • Choices and Consequences of Valuation Policies

    "Noble and The Valuation of Its Investment Associates" focusses on the Noble Group's performance since 2011 and the impact of the adverse research report published by the independent outfit, Iceberg Research in 2015, on the company. The veracity of Iceberg Research's reports is analyzed. The case uses financial statement analysis, valuing companies through income, market and asset/cost approaches to assess if Noble Group paid purchase considerations in excess of the target firm's intrinsic values while acquiring associates, particularly Australia-based Yancoal. The case study also provides the setting to use macroeconomic factors in conjunction with valuation techniques and financial statement analysis to evaluate a potential investment.
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  • Singapore REITS: Low Risk Investments for Stable Returns, Or Are They?

    Sally Tan, an equity analyst with Prospero Asset Management Company (PAMC), is tasked with recommending units of four Singapore REITs (Real Estate Investment Trust) - CapitaLand Mall Trust (CMT), Ascendas REIT (A-REIT), Soilbuild Business Space REIT (Soilbuild REIT), and Parkway Life REIT (P-Life REIT) for three of PAMC's portfolios: 1. The Prudent Equity Fund that targeted equity investors with a low risk appetite and desired stable, recurring dividend income; 2. The Balanced Equity Fund that targeted equity investors with a moderate risk appetite and expected a combination of dividend income and capital gains; and 3. The Wealth Accumulation Fund that targeted equity investors with a high risk appetite focussing on total returns. These investors were indifferent between dividend income and capital gains and also wanted an exposure to overseas markets. To enable unit selection, the case provides information on the operating and financial performance, the unit prices and distributions of the four Singapore REITs, as well as the underlying macroeconomic drivers. As of November 2016, there were over thirty REITs listed on the Singapore Exchange (SGX). Singapore listed REITs have a sector focus i.e. their portfolios consisted almost exclusively of assets from one of the following sub-markets - residential, retail, industrial, office, healthcare and hospitality. The REITs chosen in this case study comprise the largest REITs in the retail (CMT), industrial (A-REIT) and healthcare (P-Life REIT sectors, and an industrial REIT whose operating and financial performance is weak (Soilbuild REIT), to enable the class to get an exposure to retail, industrial and healthcare REITs and distinguish REITs with weaker business and financial profiles from stronger ones.
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