This note is a brief introduction to the logic and practice of using stock options to compensate executives. The Black-Scholes option-pricing model is used to estimate the value of option grants for a company. The note affords the opportunity to apply options valuation in the context of executive compensation, and serves as a companion to introductions to options that expose the reader to the Black-Scholes option-pricing model.
Charles Fogler was reviewing some analysts' reports on Whole Foods Market, Inc., that had been released earlier that day. It was September 21, 2010, and Whole Foods had closed at a price of $38.17. Two reports caught his attention.
Frank Johnson was contemplating his alternatives for the upcoming year. On the following day, January 12, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report was scheduled to be released. From Johnson's point of view, the biggest issue was the projected corn carryover from 2010. In November, the USDA predicted that for the first time in recent years the projected carryover would be about 827 million bushels, which would be the lowest since 1996. The low carryover boded well for corn prices. At that time, the USDA estimated a U.S. average cash corn price for 2010-11 of $5.20. With current spot prices at about $5.83 per bushel, he expected the outlook to actually improve but was concerned about the overall price uncertainty. The uncertainties related to the use of corn in ethanol production and demand for corn from China loomed large in his thinking. He needed to consider whether he should hedge all or some part of the following year's crop.
Jack Goodwin had recently read an article on using futures contracts on individual stocks for hedging purposes. He held about 500 shares of Abbott Laboratories in his trading portfolio. While he was concerned about the share price falling in the short run, he was bullish over the long run. Of course, he could sell now and buy later, but that would mean he would have a taxable capital gain, which he wanted to avoid. He thought the single-stock-futures contracts offered on the OneChicago Exchange might present the opportunity to hedge the price risk.
It was June 2010, and Kevin Crutchfield, CEO of Alpha Natural Resources, and his team of senior executives were facing several critical issues for the coal business. These issues were top of mind as he prepared a presentation he was expected to deliver the following Monday to ANR shareholders at the annual meeting. For fiscal year 2009, the company had revenues of $2,495 million, an increase of 1% compared with 2008, and $58 million in net income. This was relatively good considering the economic environment, but the company's long-run future was what had Crutchfield really concerned.
This case, intended for MBA and executive education audiences, investigates whether an LLC should invest in a real estate deal. The materials provide a straightforward opportunity for applying discounted-cash-flow methods from the perspective of equity investors in the LLC. The investors know the terms of interest and principal payments on planned debt financing and have made forecasts of rental rates, occupancy, depreciation, future sale price, various expenses, and other items related to the property. The case can be used as an introduction to estimation and analysis of cash flows to the suppliers of equity. The setting provides opportunities for discussion of tax issues and risks.
The protagonist in this case is an analyst attempting to value Netflix, Inc., and check whether her recent buy recommendation at a price of $20.00 per share was still valid. Recent bad news had caused the price to drop and she needed to do her best to figure out what was the future for Netflix, and was it undervalued at $17 per share? Intended for MBA students, this case contains her discounted cash flow valuation and a set of assumptions (revenues per customer, retention rates, etc.) students can use to perform a valuation of the existing Netflix customer base as another approach toward judging the $17 stock price. There are two student spreadsheets available for this case (UV4342 and UV4343).
The protagonist in this case is an analyst attempting to value Netflix, Inc., and check whether her recent buy recommendation at a price of $20.00 per share was still valid. Recent bad news had caused the price to drop and she needed to do her best to figure out what was the future for Netflix, and was it undervalued at $17 per share? Intended for MBA students, this case contains her discounted cash flow valuation and a set of assumptions (revenues per customer, retention rates, etc.) students can use to perform a valuation of the existing Netflix customer base as another approach toward judging the $17 stock price. There are two student spreadsheets available for this case (UV4342 and UV4343).
The protagonist in this case is an analyst attempting to value Netflix, Inc., and check whether her recent buy recommendation at a price of $20.00 per share was still valid. Recent bad news had caused the price to drop and she needed to do her best to figure out what was the future for Netflix, and was it undervalued at $17 per share? Intended for MBA students, this case contains her discounted cash flow valuation and a set of assumptions (revenues per customer, retention rates, etc.) students can use to perform a valuation of the existing Netflix customer base as another approach toward judging the $17 stock price. There are two student spreadsheets available for this case (UV4342 and UV4343).
Intended for MBAs, this case concerns the valuation of Netflix, Inc., which was the largest U.S. online movie rental subscription service in early 2009. After reviewing Netflix's historical financial and customer relationship performance, this case presents three approaches for valuing the firm in early 2009. The first is a company-level discounted cash flow analysis based on pro forma projections of revenues, earnings, and cash flow. The second approach attempts to judge whether the prevailing market value of Netflix was reasonable by comparing selected company ratios with those of comparable companies. The final approach is based on the assumption that Netflix's enterprise value (EV) was the sum of its current and future subscribers' values (discounted present values, to be exact). There is also a spreadsheet available for students (UV5597).
This note provides an example of the equity residual valuation method to a company. The note can be used to accompany cases on private equity acquisitions or other levered transactions. It provides a simple fact set to focus on the essentials of the method.
This technical note expands on the previous note, "Forwards and Futures" (UV1045), which introduced the basics of forward and futures contracts. It begins with examples where the hedging was one-for-one and the maturity of the futures contract exactly matched the timing of the transaction. Often times the hedging approach is not as clear as it is in those examples. This note covers hedging and more complex examples.
This case involves the decision to move investment funds to a new fund manager. The new fund has high percentage of its assets in nontraditional assets such as hedge funds and private equity. The learning objectives of the case are to provide background on the different types of assets available for investment by large endowment portfolios. The case also provides an opportunity to discuss market efficiency and the risk return trades involved with nontraditional assets.
This technical note introduces the basics of forward and futures contracts. It covers the very simplest contract on financial assets with no income and expands the discussion to cover contracts on financial assets with dividends, contracts on foreign currency and commodities. There is a discussion on the difference between forward/futures prices and the expected spot rate.
Options on stock indexes, currencies, and futures all have something in common. In each of those cases, the holder of the option does not get the same things that the holder of the underlying asset gets. This affects the value of the option. In this note, we cover the valuation implications of this for options on stock indexes, currencies, and futures.
This technical note covers the pricing of warrants. The note derives the basic formula for the pricing of warrants and offers a simple example to demonstrate the underlying concepts.
This technical note addresses the basics of risk measure for options. It introduces the different risk measures for options: Delta, Gamma, Vega, Rho, and Theta. Although the note focuses primarily on price risk (Delta) and the Delta risk (Gamma), it does address volatility risk (Vega), interest-rate risk (Rho), and time decay (Theta). In addition to providing derivations and basic calculations, the note provides a full description of Delta hedging.
This technical note provides a brief introduction to option trading strategies. It covers pay-off diagrams and specifically introduces bull spreads, butterfly spreads and calendar spreads. It also introduces straddles, strips, and strangles.
This case examines the structure of corporate goverance in three economies: Germany, Japan and the United States. It presents the structure and background on the composition of Corporate Boards of Directors. The case sets up a discussion of how corporate governance impacts on managerial decisions.