Established in 1983, Apollo Hospitals is one of India's largest hospital chains. In 2014, Apollo had 32 hospitals spread across the country. The focus of this case is of the Apollo Hospital at Bangalore. The quality head, Dr. Ananth Rao was worried about the food bill that accounted for 4% of the total cost and wanted to develop a forecasting model to estimate the demand for food and beverages being served to its patients for breakfast, lunch, and dinner. Accurate forecasting will help them to minimize the wastage of food resulting in reduction of food bill. Apollo served approximately 120 food items from its kitchen. Dr Rao believed that the demand for food was dependent on the occupancy level (number of in-patients) of the hospital. Moreover, he also expected a short-term trend in the food requirement because patients are likely to order similar food during their course of stay in the hospital - this is because of dietary restrictions as also the fact that people would generally not wish to experiment with food in a hospital environment. The profile of the patients in the hospital is unlikely to vary significantly over a period of time and so it is expected that the food trend will not change much with time.
Auto Finance Ltd. was a part of one of India's large conglomerates. The conglomerate was a major player in the two-wheeler business in India. Many of the people buying two-wheelers belonged to the lower middle class of India and did not have access to enough capital to buy the two-wheelers outright - typically costing between twenty-five to hundred thousand Indian Rupees (at the time of the setting of this case, i.e., January 2007, 1 USD ~ 50 INR). For this reason, Auto Finance used to extend loans, typically on a fixed interest rate for 3 5 years, to enable cash-strapped customers to buy the vehicles. The loan facility enabled the two-wheeler division to reach out to a section of consumers that had hitherto not been able to purchase two-wheelers. However, the increased penetration was being achieved at a cost as there were a significant number of people defaulting on their loans. Auto Finance Ltd. was interested in developing and implementing a credit scoring approach to screen out risky consumers from the pool of applicants and improve profitability.